The more I think about it the more I’m coming to the conclusion that it is too much of a risk to draft QB Tua Tagovailoa in the upcoming NFL draft, so if it were my decision I would pass on him at number five and see if he drops down to 18.
I have two lines of thought on this whole situation, with three first round picks we can afford to whiff on one so if the Dolphins do stick with drafting Tua at five they better hit on the next two first round selections for sure. We all know the great risk of passing up on Tua and him landing on another team and becoming a franchise quarterback.
But how devastating would it be for the Dolphins to draft Tua Tagovailoa and he sits out of a year, comes back and suffers another injury to his hip that most likely could be career ending.
That’s why it’s in the Dolphin’s best interest to not use the first pick in the 2020 NFL draft on Tua, if he’s there at 18 take the risk, if he’s gone, then take the best quarterback available and have him come in and compete against Josh Rosen maybe a quarterback like a Jordan love.
There’s always going to be someone in the future with great hindsight on what the Dolphins should have done, especially if they fail to deliver on a quarterback. At the same time if Tua in a different uniform becomes a franchise quarterback it will be devastating.
The way things have been going for the Dolphins it’s just a huge risk either way, failure is not an option. You can see how complicated this decision will be for GM Chris Grier.
I’m just not sure if the Dolphins are as obsessed as others when it comes to drafting a quarterback this year, we all know they need a quarterback long-term but we also realize that the Dolphins quarterback situation at the end of last year was not the worst in the world.
They had a veteran journeyman quarterback who played very well, in addition they have a young 22 year old high draft pick quarterback that’s been in the league just 2 years who they are developing.
So I can see why the Dolphins might not being anxious about the quarterback position if they plan to continue to allow Ryan Fitzpatrick to be the starter and have Josh Rosen earn the starting job by beating out Fitzpatrick in 2020.
So keep in mind, despite many mock drafts (including my latest) having the Dolphins selecting Tua in the upcoming draft, that just might not be the direction this team is headed.